What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : August 29, 2011

Last week was another volatile week for mortgage rates. Wall Street alternately sought risk and shunned it, causing mortgage-backed bonds to rise and fall rapidly.

There was a lot to move markets, too, including banking concerns across Europe, inflation figures within the U.S., and a public speech by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Conforming rates in Georgia rose to their highest levels of the week Wednesday afternoon, then receded into the weekend. 3

0-year fixed rates remain above their all-time lows set 2 weeks ago. 5-year ARMs are at all-time lows.

This week, mortgage rates figure to be equally jumpy. As well as a full slate of economic data, because of Labor Day, bond markets will be light on volume. When volume is light, pricing gets volatile.

The week's calendar of data includes:

• Monday : Pending Home Sales Index; Personal Income and Outlays
• Tuesday : FOMC Minutes; Fed President Kocherlakota speaks
• Wednesday : Factory Orders
• Thursday : Jobless Claims; ISM Manufacturing Index
• Friday : Non-Farm Payrolls

Of all the reports, though, it's Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls that might move mortgage markets the most.

Jobs are crucial to the ongoing economic recovery and, from Wall Street to Capitol Hill, it's top of mind.

If the jobs report shows more jobs created than expected, or a positive forward trend, expect bond markets to fall, pushing mortgage rates up. On the other hand, if the jobs report is soft, mortgage rates may improve.

We can't know what rates in Kennesaw will do on any given day, so the best strategy for a shopper is to shop with purpose. Know what you want, and be ready to lock when you see it. 

If you wait too long, the rate will be gone.

What's Ahead For Mortgage Rates This Week : May 16, 2011

Mortgage markets worsened overall last week for the first time in 5 weeks.

Better-than-anticipated economic data plus dwindling concerns for Greece's sovereign debt combined to a spark a bond sell-off. Conforming mortgage rates moved higher in Georgia as a result.

Rate shoppers were hit especially hard last Tuesday.

At Monday's close, conventional fixed- and adjustable-rate mortgages were posting their lowest levels of 2011, but by Tuesday's market close, rates had climbed as much as 0.250 percent across the board. In some cases, more.

The spike highlights how quickly mortgage rates can change in a recovering economy, and why "floating" a rate can be costly.

This week, mortgage rates figure to be equally volatile. There's a large set of market-changing data planned for release, and several Fed members have planned public appearances, including a 9:00 AM ET, Monday morning kickoff from Fed Chairman Bernanke.

• Monday : Bernanke speech; Homebuilder Confidence Survey
• Tuesday : Housing Starts; Building Permits
• Wednesday : FOMC Minutes
• Thursday : Existing Home Sales

In addition, Thursday brings a second rate shopper-risk.

The Initial Jobless Claims will be released at 8:30 AM ET and it will be closely watched by Wall Street. Initial claims are sharply higher since the end of April and investors believe the jobs market is key in a sustained economic recovery. If the data shows that initial claims receded, mortgage rates are expected to rise in response.